8月9日,中國機械工(gong)業(ye)聯(lian)合會(hui)舉(ju)辦(ban)2022年上(shang)半年機(ji)械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)經濟運行形勢發布會(hui)。上(shang)半年,機(ji)械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)累計實(shi)現營(ying)收(shou)12.95萬億元(yuan),同(tong)(tong)比增長5.44%,實(shi)現利潤總額7354.41億元(yuan),同(tong)(tong)比下降5.8%。
中國(guo)機(ji)械工(gong)業聯(lian)合會執行副會長陳斌表示(shi),預計下(xia)半(ban)年(nian)機(ji)械工(gong)業經濟運(yun)行將穩步(bu)回(hui)升,全年(nian)工(gong)業增(zeng)加(jia)值、營收(shou)同(tong)比增(zeng)速達5.5%,實現(xian)利潤(run)總(zong)水平與上年(nian)持平,進出口貿易總(zong)體保持穩定(ding)。
中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)機械工(gong)業(ye)聯(lian)合會(hui)9日對機械工(gong)業(ye)全年運行走(zou)勢進行預判(pan):下(xia)半年中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)機械工(gong)業(ye)經濟運行將逐步回升,全年有望實現(xian)平穩增長,工(gong)業(ye)增加值、營業(ye)收入增速達到年初預期的(de)5.5%左右(you)。
中(zhong)國機(ji)(ji)械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)聯合會分析(xi)指出,6月份(fen)機(ji)(ji)械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)運行(xing)(xing)實(shi)(shi)現企(qi)(qi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)回(hui)升,為完成全年(nian)(nian)預(yu)期目標奠定良好基礎(chu)。展(zhan)望下半(ban)(ban)年(nian)(nian),利好于(yu)機(ji)(ji)械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)運行(xing)(xing)與(yu)發(fa)展(zhan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)因素在陸續釋放(fang)。一是(shi)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)相關政策措施(shi)(shi)效(xiao)用進一步顯(xian)現,各地(di)區(qu)、各部門出臺諸多穩(wen)(wen)(wen)定經(jing)濟運行(xing)(xing)、擴大內(nei)需、促進消費、適(shi)度超前開展(zhan)基礎(chu)設施(shi)(shi)建(jian)設投(tou)資的(de)(de)(de)(de)措施(shi)(shi),同時“十(shi)四五(wu)”規劃(hua)中(zhong)明確(que)的(de)(de)(de)(de)重(zhong)大戰略、重(zhong)大項目和(he)重(zhong)大工(gong)程(cheng)已相繼(ji)開工(gong),從(cong)宏觀層面和(he)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)層面為機(ji)(ji)械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)提供強有力(li)支撐。二是(shi)市(shi)(shi)場(chang)預(yu)期改善(shan)、企(qi)(qi)業(ye)(ye)信(xin)心回(hui)升。調(diao)查顯(xian)示,多數企(qi)(qi)業(ye)(ye)對(dui)于(yu)下半(ban)(ban)年(nian)(nian)營業(ye)(ye)收(shou)入(ru)和(he)實(shi)(shi)現利潤的(de)(de)(de)(de)預(yu)期高于(yu)上半(ban)(ban)年(nian)(nian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)實(shi)(shi)際(ji)完成情況。三是(shi)汽車(che)(che)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)走勢向(xiang)好。汽車(che)(che)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)占機(ji)(ji)械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)總規模的(de)(de)(de)(de)比重(zhong)較大,對(dui)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)運行(xing)(xing)影響(xiang)顯(xian)著。近(jin)期中(zhong)央與(yu)地(di)方陸續出臺促進汽車(che)(che)消費的(de)(de)(de)(de)措施(shi)(shi),有力(li)推動(dong)了汽車(che)(che)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)的(de)(de)(de)(de)回(hui)穩(wen)(wen)(wen)向(xiang)好,下半(ban)(ban)年(nian)(nian)汽車(che)(che)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)將對(dui)機(ji)(ji)械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)平穩(wen)(wen)(wen)運行(xing)(xing)發(fa)揮重(zhong)要(yao)支撐作用。
但同時(shi)也(ye)應(ying)看到,下半年(nian)機(ji)(ji)械工業實(shi)現平穩運行壓力(li)依然存在(zai),需要密切關注。一(yi)是(shi)國際政治經濟局勢依然錯綜復雜,面臨多重風險。二是(shi)國內(nei)市場總需求收縮、消(xiao)費(fei)和(he)投(tou)資增長勢頭較(jiao)弱,疫情沖擊短期內(nei)加大了“三重壓力(li)”,對機(ji)(ji)械工業實(shi)現穩定增長帶(dai)來很大挑戰(zhan)。三是(shi)國際商貿物流不暢、全球(qiu)供應(ying)鏈局勢仍然趨緊(jin)等因素使機(ji)(ji)械工業對外(wai)貿易環(huan)境趨于嚴峻(jun)。
綜合分析,隨著穩(wen)(wen)定經(jing)(jing)濟一攬子政(zheng)策措施的逐(zhu)步落(luo)實落(luo)地,新冠肺炎疫情得(de)到有效控制(zhi),下半年中國(guo)機械(xie)工業經(jing)(jing)濟運行將逐(zhu)步回升,全年有望(wang)實現平(ping)穩(wen)(wen)增(zeng)長,實現利潤總(zong)水平(ping)與上年持(chi)(chi)平(ping),進出(chu)口貿易總(zong)體保持(chi)(chi)穩(wen)(wen)定。