國家統計局今天發布了2021年12月份全國CPI(居民消費價格指數)和PPI(工業生產者出廠價格指數)數據。對此,國家統計局城市司高級統計師董莉娟進行了解讀。
一、CPI環比由漲轉降,同比漲幅回落
12月份,國內疫(yi)情多點散發,各地區各部門統籌推進疫(yi)情防控(kong)和保供穩價,消(xiao)費市場總(zong)體平穩。
從環(huan)(huan)比(bi)看,CPI由(you)上(shang)(shang)(shang)月上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)0.4%轉為下(xia)降(jiang)0.3%。其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong),食品(pin)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)環(huan)(huan)比(bi)由(you)上(shang)(shang)(shang)月上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)2.4%轉為下(xia)降(jiang)0.6%,影(ying)響(xiang)CPI下(xia)降(jiang)約0.10個百分點。食品(pin)中(zhong)(zhong),鮮(xian)菜上(shang)(shang)(shang)市量增加(jia),價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)高位回(hui)落,環(huan)(huan)比(bi)由(you)上(shang)(shang)(shang)月上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)6.8%轉為下(xia)降(jiang)8.3%;受(shou)季(ji)節性因素影(ying)響(xiang),鮮(xian)果價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)3.4%;冬季(ji)腌臘進入尾聲,加(jia)之(zhi)生豬(zhu)出(chu)欄有所(suo)加(jia)快(kuai),豬(zhu)肉價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)漲(zhang)幅比(bi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)月大幅回(hui)落11.8個百分點。非食品(pin)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)由(you)上(shang)(shang)(shang)月持(chi)(chi)平(ping)轉為下(xia)降(jiang)0.2%,影(ying)響(xiang)CPI下(xia)降(jiang)約0.17個百分點。非食品(pin)中(zhong)(zhong),工業消費品(pin)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)由(you)上(shang)(shang)(shang)月上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)0.3%轉為下(xia)降(jiang)0.5%,其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)受(shou)國際原(yuan)油(you)(you)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)下(xia)行影(ying)響(xiang),汽油(you)(you)和(he)柴(chai)油(you)(you)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)分別下(xia)降(jiang)5.4%和(he)5.8%。服務價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)由(you)上(shang)(shang)(shang)月下(xia)降(jiang)0.3%轉為持(chi)(chi)平(ping),其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong),因春節臨(lin)近,家政服務價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)1.3%;疫情影(ying)響(xiang)居民出(chu)行,賓館(guan)住(zhu)宿價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)下(xia)降(jiang)0.8%。
從同(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)看,CPI上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)1.5%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)回(hui)(hui)(hui)落0.8個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)點。其中,食品(pin)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)同(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)由(you)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)1.6%轉(zhuan)為下(xia)降(jiang)1.2%,影響(xiang)CPI下(xia)降(jiang)約0.22個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)點。食品(pin)中,豬肉(rou)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)下(xia)降(jiang)36.7%,降(jiang)幅(fu)(fu)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)擴大4.0個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)點;鮮菜價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)10.6%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)大幅(fu)(fu)回(hui)(hui)(hui)落20.0個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)點;淡水(shui)魚(yu)、雞蛋和(he)食用植物油價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)別上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)16.7%、14.2%和(he)9.0%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)均(jun)有回(hui)(hui)(hui)落。非食品(pin)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)2.1%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)回(hui)(hui)(hui)落0.4個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)點,影響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約1.69個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)點。非食品(pin)中,工業消(xiao)費品(pin)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)2.9%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)回(hui)(hui)(hui)落1.0個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)點,其中汽油和(he)柴油價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)分(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)別上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)23.0%和(he)25.4%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)均(jun)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)回(hui)(hui)(hui)落較多;服務價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)1.5%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)與上(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)相同(tong)。扣除食品(pin)和(he)能(neng)源(yuan)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)的核心CPI同(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)1.2%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)與上(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)相同(tong)。
二、PPI環比由平轉降,同比漲幅回落
12月份,保供穩(wen)價(jia)政策效(xiao)果持續顯現,疊加原油等部分國際大(da)宗商品價(jia)格走低(di)影響,工業品價(jia)格有所回落(luo)。
從(cong)環(huan)比看,PPI由(you)上(shang)月持平轉(zhuan)為下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)1.2%。其中,生(sheng)產(chan)(chan)資(zi)料價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)1.6%,降(jiang)幅(fu)比上(shang)月擴(kuo)大1.5個百分(fen)點(dian)(dian);生(sheng)活資(zi)料價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)由(you)上(shang)漲(zhang)0.4%轉(zhuan)為持平。保供(gong)(gong)穩價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)政(zheng)策落實力(li)(li)度(du)不斷加(jia)大,煤炭價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)繼續回落,煤炭開(kai)采和洗選業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)8.3%,降(jiang)幅(fu)擴(kuo)大3.4個百分(fen)點(dian)(dian);煤炭加(jia)工(gong)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)15.4%,降(jiang)幅(fu)擴(kuo)大7.0個百分(fen)點(dian)(dian)。冬季(ji)鋼材(cai)、水(shui)泥等建筑材(cai)料需求偏弱(ruo),價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)有(you)所下(xia)(xia)降(jiang),黑(hei)色(se)金(jin)屬冶煉和壓(ya)(ya)延(yan)加(jia)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)4.4%,非(fei)金(jin)屬礦物制(zhi)品業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)1.4%。國際(ji)原油、有(you)色(se)金(jin)屬價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)走(zou)低(di),帶動(dong)國內相關行業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)。石油開(kai)采價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)8.3%,精煉石油產(chan)(chan)品制(zhi)造(zao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)4.0%,化學原料和化學制(zhi)品制(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)2.1%;有(you)色(se)金(jin)屬冶煉和壓(ya)(ya)延(yan)加(jia)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)1.4%。另外,進口液化天然氣價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)上(shang)漲(zhang),影(ying)響燃氣生(sheng)產(chan)(chan)和供(gong)(gong)應(ying)(ying)業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)上(shang)漲(zhang)5.3%;燃煤發電(dian)市場交易(yi)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)浮動(dong)范圍擴(kuo)大,電(dian)力(li)(li)熱力(li)(li)生(sheng)產(chan)(chan)和供(gong)(gong)應(ying)(ying)業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)上(shang)漲(zhang)3.0%。
從同(tong)比(bi)看(kan),PPI上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)10.3%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)回(hui)落(luo)(luo)2.6個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)。其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong),生產(chan)資料價格(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)13.4%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)回(hui)落(luo)(luo)3.6個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian);生活資料價格(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)1.0%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)與(yu)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)相(xiang)同(tong)。調查(cha)的40個工業(ye)(ye)行業(ye)(ye)大類(lei)中(zhong)(zhong),價格(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)的有(you)37個,與(yu)上(shang)(shang)月(yue)相(xiang)同(tong)。主要行業(ye)(ye)中(zhong)(zhong),價格(ge)(ge)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)回(hui)落(luo)(luo)的有(you):煤(mei)炭(tan)開采(cai)和洗選(xuan)業(ye)(ye)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)66.8%,回(hui)落(luo)(luo)22.0個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian);石(shi)油和天然氣開采(cai)業(ye)(ye)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)45.6%,回(hui)落(luo)(luo)22.9個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian);石(shi)油煤(mei)炭(tan)及其(qi)它燃(ran)料加(jia)工業(ye)(ye)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)36.4%,回(hui)落(luo)(luo)16.7個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian);黑色金屬(shu)冶(ye)煉和壓延(yan)加(jia)工業(ye)(ye)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)21.4%,回(hui)落(luo)(luo)9.6個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian);有(you)色金屬(shu)冶(ye)煉和壓延(yan)加(jia)工業(ye)(ye)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)20.0%,回(hui)落(luo)(luo)6.5個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)。價格(ge)(ge)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)擴(kuo)大的有(you):燃(ran)氣生產(chan)和供應業(ye)(ye)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)12.5%,擴(kuo)大1.6個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian);電力熱(re)力生產(chan)和供應業(ye)(ye)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)4.8%,擴(kuo)大2.4個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian);食品制造(zao)業(ye)(ye)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)4.2%,擴(kuo)大0.7個百(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)。