2019年第2周(2019.1.7-1.11)蘭格鋼鐵全國鋼材(cai)(cai)綜合價格(ge)指數(shu)達到146.9點(dian)，較(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)上(shang)(shang)(shang)升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)0.15%，較(jiao)去(qu)(qu)年(nian)(nian)同(tong)期(qi)(qi)下降(jiang)7.42%。其中，LGMI長材(cai)(cai)價格(ge)指數(shu)為158.2點(dian)，較(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)上(shang)(shang)(shang)升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)0.03%，較(jiao)去(qu)(qu)年(nian)(nian)同(tong)期(qi)(qi)下降(jiang)5.18%；LGMI型材(cai)(cai)價格(ge)指數(shu)為157.1點(dian)，較(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)上(shang)(shang)(shang)升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)0.48%，較(jiao)去(qu)(qu)年(nian)(nian)同(tong)期(qi)(qi)下降(jiang)5.09%；LGMI板材(cai)(cai)價格(ge)指數(shu)為134.2點(dian)，較(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)上(shang)(shang)(shang)升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)0.20%，較(jiao)去(qu)(qu)年(nian)(nian)同(tong)期(qi)(qi)下降(jiang)10.29%；LGMI管材(cai)(cai)價格(ge)指數(shu)為158.9點(dian)，較(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)上(shang)(shang)(shang)升(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)0.15%，較(jiao)去(qu)(qu)年(nian)(nian)同(tong)期(qi)(qi)下降(jiang)5.13%。

      據蘭格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)鋼(gang)鐵(tie)云商(shang)平臺監測(ce)數據顯(xian)示，2019年第2周(zhou)國(guo)內部分地區鋼(gang)鐵(tie)原燃料及鋼(gang)材產品(pin)(pin)(pin)計17類(lei)44個(ge)(ge)規格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(品(pin)(pin)(pin)種(zhong))的價格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)變化(hua)情況如下(xia)：主要鋼(gang)材品(pin)(pin)(pin)種(zhong)市場(chang)價格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)震(zhen)蕩盤整，與上(shang)(shang)周(zhou)相比(bi)，上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)品(pin)(pin)(pin)種(zhong)明(ming)顯(xian)增加(jia)，持平品(pin)(pin)(pin)種(zhong)略有(you)有(you)所，下(xia)跌(die)品(pin)(pin)(pin)種(zhong)明(ming)顯(xian)減少(shao)。其中(zhong)28個(ge)(ge)品(pin)(pin)(pin)種(zhong)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)，較上(shang)(shang)周(zhou)增加(jia)26種(zhong)；12種(zhong)持平，較上(shang)(shang)周(zhou)減少(shao)4種(zhong)；4個(ge)(ge)品(pin)(pin)(pin)種(zhong)下(xia)跌(die)，較上(shang)(shang)周(zhou)減少(shao)22種(zhong)。國(guo)內鋼(gang)鐵(tie)原料市場(chang)震(zhen)蕩盤整，鐵(tie)礦石(shi)價格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)小幅盤整，焦炭價格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)下(xia)跌(die)100元(yuan)(yuan)，廢鋼(gang)價格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)10-130元(yuan)(yuan)，鋼(gang)坯價格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)100-120元(yuan)(yuan)(詳見表1)。

圖1  蘭格鋼鐵(tie)價(jia)格指數(shu)變化趨勢圖

      從宏觀層面來看，2019年補短板將切實增加有效投資，重點方向是：保障性安居工程、重大基礎設施建設、節能環保與生態建設等重點領域，全國人大常委會已授權國務院提前下達部分新增地方政府債務限額，著力提高項目開工率、資金到位率和投資完成率。從鋼市本身來看，假期臨近鋼市成交清淡，鋼廠冬儲政策已出，但鋼貿商冬儲操作依舊謹慎，市場被動冬儲已經開始，商家對于春節后鋼市信心不足，冬儲效果不如預期。綜合來看，下周鋼材市場將在基建力度加大和冬儲不(bu)如(ru)預(yu)期的(de)影(ying)響下(xia)震蕩下(xia)滑。

      據(ju)蘭格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)鋼(gang)鐵云商平臺(tai)周(zhou)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)預(yu)(yu)測模(mo)型(xing)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)測算，下(xia)周(zhou)(2019.1.14-1.18)國內鋼(gang)材(cai)(cai)市(shi)場(chang)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)將震蕩(dang)下(xia)滑，長材(cai)(cai)市(shi)場(chang)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)將穩(wen)中趨(qu)弱，型(xing)材(cai)(cai)市(shi)場(chang)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)將震蕩(dang)盤(pan)整跌(die)(die)，板材(cai)(cai)市(shi)場(chang)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)將小(xiao)(xiao)幅下(xia)跌(die)(die)，管(guan)材(cai)(cai)市(shi)場(chang)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)將小(xiao)(xiao)幅波(bo)動(dong)(dong)。蘭格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)鋼(gang)鐵全國鋼(gang)材(cai)(cai)綜(zong)合價(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)預(yu)(yu)計(ji)在146.6點附近(jin)(jin)波(bo)動(dong)(dong)，鋼(gang)材(cai)(cai)均價(jia)在4030元(yuan)左(zuo)右(you)，平均波(bo)動(dong)(dong)10-100元(yuan)左(zuo)右(you)；其中，長材(cai)(cai)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)預(yu)(yu)計(ji)在158.1點附近(jin)(jin)波(bo)動(dong)(dong)，下(xia)跌(die)(die)0.1點；型(xing)材(cai)(cai)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)預(yu)(yu)計(ji)在157.0點附近(jin)(jin)波(bo)動(dong)(dong)，下(xia)跌(die)(die)0.1點；板材(cai)(cai)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)預(yu)(yu)計(ji)在133.5點附近(jin)(jin)波(bo)動(dong)(dong)，下(xia)跌(die)(die)0.7點；管(guan)材(cai)(cai)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)指(zhi)數(shu)(shu)預(yu)(yu)計(ji)在158.9點附近(jin)(jin)波(bo)動(dong)(dong)，小(xiao)(xiao)幅波(bo)動(dong)(dong)。