當前機械工(gong)業主要(yao)經濟(ji)指(zhi)標保持增長(chang)，發展態(tai)勢穩中向好(hao)，主要(yao)指(zhi)標增速超過預期(qi)，市(shi)場信心穩步提升。 

　　運行指標好于預期 

　　1~10月(yue)機械(xie)工業經濟運(yun)行指標好于(yu)(yu)預(yu)期。機械(xie)工業增加(jia)值同比增長(chang)11%，比1~9月(yue)(11.1%)放緩0.1個百分點，高(gao)于(yu)(yu)上年同期機械(xie)工業增速（9.3%）1.7個百分點；繼續分別高(gao)于(yu)(yu)全國工業（6.7%）及制造(zao)業（7.2%）4.3、3.8個百分點，明(ming)顯好于(yu)(yu)年初預(yu)期。 

　　在主要大類(lei)行業(ye)(ye)(ye)中，汽車制造業(ye)(ye)(ye)繼(ji)續引領(ling)全(quan)行業(ye)(ye)(ye)增長(chang)(chang)，1~10月工業(ye)(ye)(ye)增加(jia)值同(tong)比增長(chang)(chang)13%，高于行業(ye)(ye)(ye)平(ping)均水平(ping)2個百分點。 

　　電氣機(ji)械及器材制造業逐月小幅(fu)提升。1~10月同比(bi)增長10.7%，比(bi)1~9月（10.7%）持(chi)平(ping)，比(bi)上年同期增速（8.7%）提高(gao)2個百分點。 

　　通(tong)用(yong)(yong)設備(bei)(bei)制(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)、專用(yong)(yong)設備(bei)(bei)制(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)上年同(tong)期基數較低(di)，2017年1~10月回升明(ming)顯，同(tong)比(bi)(bi)分別增長10.9%、12.1%，比(bi)(bi)上年同(tong)期增速（5.3%、6.0%）分別加(jia)快5.6、6.1個百(bai)分點。 

　　1~10月在(zai)機械工業(ye)重點監測(ce)的(de)119種(zhong)主要產品產量中，同(tong)比(bi)增長的(de)產品91種(zhong)，占(zhan)比(bi)76.47%；同(tong)比(bi)下降的(de)產品僅有28種(zhong)，占(zhan)比(bi)23.53%。 

　　在90種同比增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)的產品中(zhong)，52種產品在上年(nian)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)的基礎(chu)上繼續(xu)保持增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)，36種產品由(you)上年(nian)同比下降轉(zhuan)為同比增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)。特別是挖掘鏟土運輸機(ji)(ji)械、壓(ya)實機(ji)(ji)械、工業自(zi)動化控(kong)制(zhi)系(xi)統(tong)、環境(jing)監測專(zhuan)用儀(yi)器(qi)儀(yi)表、光學儀(yi)器(qi)、煉(lian)油、化工生產專(zhuan)用設備(bei)、氣體分(fen)離及液化設備(bei)、金屬軋制(zhi)設備(bei)、照相機(ji)(ji)、印刷專(zhuan)用設備(bei)、機(ji)(ji)床數(shu)控(kong)裝(zhuang)置、金切(qie)工具、大型電力(li)變壓(ya)器(qi)、低壓(ya)開關(guan)板、工業鍋(guo)爐、彈(dan)簧、金屬集裝(zhuang)箱均從(cong)上年(nian)同比下降轉(zhuan)為兩位數(shu)同比增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)。 

　　利潤增幅高于收入增幅 

　　1~9月機械工業全行(xing)業實現主營業務收入189015.82億(yi)元(yuan)，同比增長(chang)10.67%，高于(yu)上年同期(qi)（7.19%）3.48個百分點，但低于(yu)全國工業1.85個百分點。 

　　1~9月機械工業(ye)實現(xian)利潤(run)總額12763.42億元(yuan)，同比增長(chang)13.69%，比上年同期（7.43%）提高6.26個(ge)百分點(dian)，但低于全(quan)國工業(ye)（22.85%）9.11個(ge)百分點(dian)。利潤(run)增幅(fu)高于主營業(ye)務(wu)收入增長(chang)3.02個(ge)百分點(dian)。 

　　汽車及電(dian)工(gong)電(dian)器(qi)行(xing)業仍是主要(yao)的(de)支撐力量(liang)。1~9月不同行(xing)業實現主營業務收入(ru)中，汽車行(xing)業位居首位，占(zhan)機(ji)械行(xing)業的(de)比(bi)重34.43%，其次電(dian)工(gong)電(dian)器(qi)行(xing)業占(zhan)比(bi)23.75%，兩個行(xing)業合(he)計占(zhan)機(ji)械工(gong)業比(bi)重58.18%。 

　　1~9月(yue)不(bu)同(tong)行業實現利潤(run)中，汽車行業位居首位，占(zhan)(zhan)機(ji)械(xie)行業的比重40.59%，其次電(dian)工電(dian)器行業占(zhan)(zhan)比20.49%，兩個行業合計占(zhan)(zhan)機(ji)械(xie)工業利潤(run)總額的61.08%。 

　　機械工業多數效益指標(biao)好于上(shang)年同期。 

　　外貿進出口低迷狀態持續改善 

　　外貿(mao)進(jin)口(kou)(kou)、出(chu)口(kou)(kou)均擺脫了上(shang)年(nian)同比下降的(de)頹勢。1~9月機械(xie)工業(ye)進(jin)出(chu)口(kou)(kou)總額5199.62億美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)，同比增(zeng)長9.06%，其(qi)中進(jin)口(kou)(kou)2233.41億美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)，同比增(zeng)長12.77%（上(shang)年(nian)同期(qi)-5.18%），提高(gao)17.95個百分(fen)點；出(chu)口(kou)(kou)2966.22億美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)，同比增(zeng)長6.42%（上(shang)年(nian)同期(qi)-4.69%），提高(gao)11.11個百分(fen)點。機械(xie)行業(ye)實現貿(mao)易順差732.81億美(mei)(mei)元(yuan)。 

　　外(wai)貿進口(kou)、出(chu)(chu)口(kou)增(zeng)速(su)均從(cong)上(shang)年(nian)各(ge)月同比下降(jiang)轉為實現同比增(zeng)長，從(cong)逐月增(zeng)速(su)看，出(chu)(chu)口(kou)均保持小幅(fu)提(ti)高（個位(wei)數增(zeng)長），進口(kou)持續兩位(wei)數增(zeng)長，1~9月進口(kou)增(zeng)速(su)快于(yu)出(chu)(chu)口(kou)增(zeng)速(su)6.35個百分(fen)點。 

　　行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)進(jin)出口(kou)(kou)總格局變化不大。機(ji)械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)進(jin)口(kou)(kou)主要(yao)集中(zhong)在(zai)三個分行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)中(zhong)，儀(yi)器(qi)儀(yi)表行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)（進(jin)口(kou)(kou)373.78億美元，占(zhan)全行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)進(jin)口(kou)(kou)比(bi)重16.74%）；電工(gong)電器(qi)行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)（389.32億美元，占(zhan)比(bi)17.43%）；汽車行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)（569億美元，占(zhan)比(bi)25.48%），三個行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)合計占(zhan)機(ji)械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)進(jin)口(kou)(kou)總額(e)的59.65%。 

　　機(ji)械工(gong)業(ye)出口(kou)也主要集中在三(san)個(ge)行業(ye)：石化通用(yong)機(ji)械行業(ye)（522.07億(yi)美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，占比(bi)17.6%）；電(dian)工(gong)電(dian)器行業(ye)（781.6億(yi)美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，占比(bi)26.35%）；汽(qi)車行業(ye)（418.26億(yi)美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，占比(bi)10.49%），三(san)個(ge)行業(ye)合計占出口(kou)總(zong)額的54.44%。 

　　國家(jia)提(ti)出(chu)的(de)“一(yi)帶(dai)一(yi)路(lu)”建(jian)設對(dui)機(ji)械(xie)工業(ye)具有帶(dai)動作用。1~9月機(ji)械(xie)工業(ye)對(dui)“一(yi)帶(dai)一(yi)路(lu)”沿(yan)線國家(jia)出(chu)口額達970.85億美元，占機(ji)械(xie)工業(ye)出(chu)口總額的(de)32.73%，特別是對(dui)東盟十國的(de)出(chu)口377.67億美元，占“一(yi)帶(dai)一(yi)路(lu)”國家(jia)的(de)38.9%。 

　　1~9月機械工業外(wai)貿進(jin)出口增速低于(yu)全(quan)國外(wai)貿增速2.64個百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點(dian)。其中出口低于(yu)全(quan)國外(wai)貿1.08個百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點(dian)，進(jin)口低于(yu)全(quan)國外(wai)貿4.53個百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點(dian)。 

　　固定資產投資維持低位 

　　1~10月(yue)機械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)累計(ji)實現固定資(zi)(zi)(zi)產投(tou)資(zi)(zi)(zi)42401.5億元，同(tong)比增長(chang)3.35%，比上年(nian)同(tong)期（0.74%）提(ti)高2.61個(ge)(ge)百分點，低于全社會(hui)同(tong)期固定資(zi)(zi)(zi)產投(tou)資(zi)(zi)(zi)增速（7.3%）3.95個(ge)(ge)百分點，低于制(zhi)造業(ye)（4.1%）0.75個(ge)(ge)百分點，增速始終維持(chi)低位運行(xing)。但固定資(zi)(zi)(zi)產投(tou)資(zi)(zi)(zi)結(jie)構正在悄然變化，由外延轉(zhuan)向內涵，1~10月(yue)機械(xie)工(gong)業(ye)設備工(gong)器具的購置(zhi)(zhi)同(tong)比增長(chang)8.35%，建筑工(gong)程投(tou)資(zi)(zi)(zi)同(tong)比增長(chang)2.68%，設備購置(zhi)(zhi)高于建筑安裝增速5.67個(ge)(ge)百分點。 

　　10月(yue)當月(yue)機械工(gong)業固定資(zi)產(chan)投(tou)資(zi)4432億元，同比(bi)下降0.22%，比(bi)1~9月(yue)（-0.05%）降幅擴大0.17個(ge)百分點(dian)。 

　　資金(jin)到(dao)位降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)幅繼續收窄。1~10月(yue)機械工(gong)業實際到(dao)位資金(jin)39977.62億(yi)元(yuan)，同(tong)比下降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)0.03%，降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)幅比1~9月(yue)收窄0.77個百分點(dian)，占大頭的企業自籌資金(jin)同(tong)比下降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)1.22%，比1~9月(yue)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)幅收窄0.85個百分點(dian)。 

　　相關產品快速增長 

　　在供給側結構改革的(de)(de)引(yin)領下，消費(fei)類產品繼續保(bao)持增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)的(de)(de)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)時，部(bu)分投資類相關(guan)產品回(hui)升(sheng)。與(yu)(yu)消費(fei)市場(chang)關(guan)系密切增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)的(de)(de)產品面擴(kuo)大(da)。1~10月汽車(che)(che)產銷分別完成2295.68萬輛和2292.71萬輛，比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)上年同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)期分別增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)4.27%和4.13%。1~10月受汽車(che)(che)帶動的(de)(de)汽車(che)(che)用發動機(ji)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)19.11%、汽車(che)(che)儀表同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)12.25%，液壓(ya)元件同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)1.27%、氣(qi)動同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)9.22%、密封件同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)5.27%、模具同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)8.77%，停車(che)(che)設(she)備(bei)市場(chang)需求旺盛；與(yu)(yu)旅游相關(guan)的(de)(de)照(zhao)相機(ji)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)11.63%，其中數碼照(zhao)相機(ji)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)22.75%；與(yu)(yu)消費(fei)及消費(fei)產品加工(gong)相關(guan)的(de)(de)塑(su)料(liao)加工(gong)專(zhuan)(zhuan)用設(she)備(bei)累(lei)計(ji)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)12.78%，包裝專(zhuan)(zhuan)用設(she)備(bei)累(lei)計(ji)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)1.91%，棉(mian)花加工(gong)機(ji)械(xie)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)5.04%,農產品加工(gong)機(ji)械(xie)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)10.48%，飼料(liao)生(sheng)產專(zhuan)(zhuan)用設(she)備(bei)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)7.71%；與(yu)(yu)民生(sheng)消費(fei)相關(guan)的(de)(de)各類低(di)壓(ya)電(dian)器同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)21.35%，通信及電(dian)子網絡用電(dian)纜同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)6.49%，光纜同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)9.56%，電(dian)動手提工(gong)具同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)13.5%，摩托車(che)(che)整車(che)(che)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)8.1%。 

　　與環(huan)境保護相(xiang)關的產(chan)品銷(xiao)(xiao)售快速增(zeng)長。10月(yue)當月(yue)新(xin)能源汽車產(chan)銷(xiao)(xiao)分別完成9.2萬輛(liang)和9.1萬輛(liang)，同比分別增(zeng)長85.9%和106.7%。1~10月(yue)環(huan)境監測(ce)專用儀(yi)器儀(yi)表同比增(zeng)長3.28%，環(huan)境污(wu)染防治設備同比增(zeng)長10.11%，其(qi)中水質污(wu)染防治設備同比增(zeng)長7.88%；固體廢棄(qi)物處理設備累計(ji)同比分別增(zeng)長20.66%。 

　　與(yu)智(zhi)能制(zhi)(zhi)造及(ji)(ji)國家產(chan)(chan)業升級相關(guan)的產(chan)(chan)品增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)勢頭持續向好。今(jin)年儀器(qi)儀表(biao)行業產(chan)(chan)品增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)勢頭較(jiao)(jiao)好，特別是(shi)與(yu)環境監測、食(shi)品安全(quan)、智(zhi)能制(zhi)(zhi)造和第三方檢測系(xi)(xi)統(tong)集成項目(mu)的領(ling)域的產(chan)(chan)品增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)較(jiao)(jiao)快，具體產(chan)(chan)品如：工業自動化(hua)儀表(biao)與(yu)控(kong)制(zhi)(zhi)系(xi)(xi)統(tong)同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)18%，比(bi)(bi)(bi)上年同(tong)(tong)(tong)期加快24.6個(ge)百(bai)分點，試驗(yan)機(ji)同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)73.62%，分析儀器(qi)及(ji)(ji)裝置同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)9.28%，光(guang)學儀器(qi)同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)5.54%。機(ji)床(chuang)產(chan)(chan)品中的金切機(ji)床(chuang)同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)7.2%，其中數(shu)控(kong)機(ji)床(chuang)同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)0.69%，機(ji)床(chuang)數(shu)控(kong)裝置同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)31.15%，從(cong)上年同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)下降轉為同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)；高檔數(shu)控(kong)軸承需求(qiu)較(jiao)(jiao)大。 

　　國(guo)家(jia)基(ji)礎設(she)施建設(she)拉(la)動工程機(ji)械(xie)產品增長明顯(xian)(xian)。機(ji)場(chang)、鐵路、公路、礦山(shan)、農(nong)村水利基(ji)礎設(she)施建設(she)等，資金到(dao)位逐漸(jian)好轉(zhuan)，對工程機(ji)械(xie)設(she)備的拉(la)動明顯(xian)(xian)。 

　　1~10月工程機(ji)械(xie)行業10種主要產品全部正增長(chang)：挖掘(jue)機(ji)同比增長(chang)65.84%、裝(zhuang)載(zai)機(ji)增長(chang)27.52%，混凝(ning)土機(ji)械(xie)增長(chang)4.78%、壓實(shi)機(ji)械(xie)同比增長(chang)18%等。 

　　國家(jia)重點(dian)建設(she)(she)(she)工(gong)程(cheng)拉動相(xiang)關(guan)產品增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)。在(zai)國家(jia)重點(dian)輸(shu)電(dian)(dian)通道建設(she)(she)(she)項目和配電(dian)(dian)網(wang)建設(she)(she)(she)改造(zao)以及新一輪農村(cun)電(dian)(dian)網(wang)改造(zao)升級工(gong)程(cheng)拉動下，輸(shu)變(bian)(bian)電(dian)(dian)相(xiang)關(guan)產品保持增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)，其中，輸(shu)變(bian)(bian)電(dian)(dian)相(xiang)關(guan)的變(bian)(bian)壓器(qi)(qi)同(tong)比(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)3.91%，其中大型電(dian)(dian)力變(bian)(bian)壓器(qi)(qi)同(tong)比(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)26.71%，互感器(qi)(qi)同(tong)比(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)1.5%，電(dian)(dian)力電(dian)(dian)容器(qi)(qi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)14.04%，高壓開關(guan)板同(tong)比(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)5.32%，高壓開關(guan)設(she)(she)(she)備（11萬伏以上）同(tong)比(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)6.85%，電(dian)(dian)力電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)同(tong)比(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)3.76%，絕緣制品同(tong)比(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)16.89%。 

　　展望2018年 

　　2018年(nian)機(ji)械工業的運行有(you)望相對平穩，但增(zeng)速預(yu)計將略低于今(jin)年(nian)，估計比(bi)今(jin)年(nian)增(zeng)長7%左(zuo)右。 

　　機械(xie)工(gong)(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)面臨的(de)有(you)(you)利(li)因素(su)。一(yi)是(shi)(shi)(shi)機械(xie)工(gong)(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)主要經濟(ji)指(zhi)標的(de)增速在穩(wen)步(bu)回升(sheng)；訂貨形勢平穩(wen)向好，沒有(you)(you)發(fa)生劇烈變(bian)化跡(ji)象；二(er)是(shi)(shi)(shi)機械(xie)工(gong)(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)轉(zhuan)型升(sheng)級(ji)雖遠未完成(cheng)，但一(yi)直在推進，且(qie)取得一(yi)定成(cheng)效,機械(xie)工(gong)(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)發(fa)展的(de)韌性正在增強；三(san)是(shi)(shi)(shi)主要分行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)中，汽(qi)車行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)、電(dian)(dian)工(gong)(gong)(gong)電(dian)(dian)器行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)、石(shi)化通(tong)用行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)、通(tong)用零部件(jian)行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)仍是(shi)(shi)(shi)機械(xie)工(gong)(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)重要支(zhi)撐。汽(qi)車、電(dian)(dian)工(gong)(gong)(gong)電(dian)(dian)器行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)受2017年(nian)基數抬高影響，2018年(nian)增速將(jiang)回落，石(shi)化通(tong)用行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)、機械(xie)基礎(chu)件(jian)行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)將(jiang)保(bao)持平穩(wen)運(yun)行(xing)。 

　　機械(xie)工業(ye)面臨的(de)不利因素。一(yi)是今年(nian)(nian)形(xing)勢相對較好，明年(nian)(nian)國家專項基(ji)金投資力度減(jian)弱，即使(shi)力度不減(jian)，刺(ci)激效果也可能遞減(jian)；二是載(zai)重車和工程機械(xie)明年(nian)(nian)增(zeng)速(su)將(jiang)在今年(nian)(nian)偏高基(ji)礎上回落(luo)；三(san)是預計電(dian)工行(xing)業(ye)的(de)龍頭產(chan)品(pin)（發(fa)電(dian)設(she)備和特高壓輸變(bian)電(dian)設(she)備）明年(nian)(nian)產(chan)銷形(xing)勢將(jiang)比較困(kun)難。 

　　汽(qi)(qi)車(che)行業(ye)明(ming)(ming)年購置稅優(you)惠政策退出(chu)，消(xiao)(xiao)費環境日(ri)益嚴苛(ke)，都(dou)對(dui)汽(qi)(qi)車(che)消(xiao)(xiao)費具有抑制(zhi)作用(yong)，海外市場不確定因素增強；明(ming)(ming)年汽(qi)(qi)車(che)產銷將繼(ji)續保持低(di)增長，增速低(di)于今年水平。 

　　明(ming)年(nian)(nian)出口形勢因今(jin)年(nian)(nian)人(ren)民幣匯率波動較大，不太樂觀。綜合判斷顯示，2018年(nian)(nian)機械(xie)工業的(de)運(yun)行有望(wang)相對平(ping)穩，但(dan)增速預(yu)計將略低于今(jin)年(nian)(nian)，估計比今(jin)年(nian)(nian)增長7%左(zuo)右。